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COUPLED WAVELET-AUTOREGRESSIVE MODEL FOR ANNUAL RAINFALL PREDICTION
autoregressive Wavelet - AR Model ANNUAL RAINFALL
2009/10/12
Because rainfall is one of the most significant parameters in a hydrological model, several stochastic models have been developed to analyze and predict the rainfall process. In recent years, wavelet ...
Flood forecasting using medium-range probabilistic weather prediction
Ensemble Prediction Systems Numerical Weather Prediction European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts
2009/5/18
Following the developments in short- and medium-range weather forecasting over the last decade, operational flood forecasting also appears to show a shift from a so-called single solution or 'best gu...
Hydrological prediction in a non-stationary world
Hydrological prediction non-stationary world
2009/5/6
The paper discusses evidence that common assumptions in the analysis of hydrological time series (homogeneous variability in random fluctuations about a constant mean value) may not be appropriate for...
Uncertainty analysis of hydrological ensemble forecasts in a distributed model utilising short-range rainfall prediction
rainfall prediction short-range
2009/4/28
Advances in mesoscale numerical weather predication make it possible to provide rainfall forecasts along with many other data fields at increasingly higher spatial resolutions. It is currently possib...
Toward flood risk prediction：a statistical approach using a 29-year river discharge simulation over Japan
29-year river discharge simulation flood risk prediction statistical approach
2009/4/13
A statistical approach that considers the bias and uncertainty of models is proposed for interpreting the simulated river discharge as a flood risk. A 29-year simulation was performed to estimate para...