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Fluctuations in Uncertainty.
Determining fluctuations and cycles of corn price in Iran
corn GARCH harmonic pattern Iran agricultural mercantile exchange price fluctuations
2014/2/24
Corn is the third important agricultural product. It is an important input in the poultry production and the basic elements of edible oil, starch, glucose, and raw material in industrial production of...
Is China’s domestic agricultural market influenced by price fluctuations of the world agricultural commodities in the short-run?
agriculture copula dynamic correlation market integration short-term impact
2014/2/24
After entry into the WTO, China’s domestic agricultural market is more and more closely integrated into the world market. Recently, a significant price fluctuation of agricultural commodities in the g...
Analysis of the International Oil Price Fluctuations and Its Influencing Factors
International Oil Price Supply and Demand Dollar Exchange Rate
2013/2/20
Oil is one of the important strategic energy to guarantee the development of modern industry and economy, and is also an important resource, which is scrambled by each interest group in the world. Oil...
Keynesian Macrodynamics: Convergence, Roads to Instability and the Emergence of Complex Business Fluctuations
Keynesian dynamics wage and price Phillips curves persistent business cycles
2010/12/6
We reformulate the traditional AS-AD growth model, with a Taylor policy rule replacing the conventional LM-curve. The essential features of the model are gradually adjusting wages and prices, perfect ...
Business fluctuations in a credit-network economy
Business fluctuations credit-network economy
2010/10/20
We model a network economy with three sectors: downstream firms, upstream firms, and banks. Agents are linked by productive and credit relationships so that the behavior of one agent influences the be...
Superstatistical fluctuations in time series: Applications to share-price dynamics and turbulence
Superstatistical fluctuations dynamics turbulence
2010/10/29
We report a general technique to study a given experimental time series with superstatistics.
Crucial for the applicability of the superstatistics concept is the existence of a parameter β that fluct...
Liquidity Crisis, Granularity of the Order Book and Price Fluctuations
Liquidity Crisis Granularity of the Order Book Price Fluctuations
2010/10/29
We introduce a microscopic model for the dynamics of the order book to study how the lack of liquidity influences price fluctuations. We use the average density of the stored orders (granularity g) as...
Microfoundations of Macro Fluctuations: Pattern of Large Numbers, Relative Price Movements, And Arbi
2008/1/17
The law of large numbers shows that the relative deviation for a macro system with N independent elements is of the order of . refore, the Lucas' approach to a microfoundations for macroeconomic fluct...