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社会养老保险危机预警警兆指标体系探讨
问卷调查 社会养老保险危机预警 警兆指标体系
2013/11/21
由于社会养老保险危机产生的原因纷繁复杂,再加上社会养老保险危机预警理论研究的欠缺,在社会养老保险危机预警问题上存在着不少的理论上和实践上亟待解决的问题。而对社会养老保险危机预警警兆指标体系的研究更是亟须加强。首先运用问卷调查的方法对社会养老保险危机预警警兆指标体系进行了尝试性的构建;其次,根据已构建的社会养老保险危机预警警兆指标体系,对中国养老保险制度设计进行了预警分析,其中包括对统账模式养老金收...
中国共产党第十六次代表大会提出了在本世纪初头20年全面建设小康社会的宏伟目标，在这个包括经济、政治、社会和可持续发展四方面的目标中，许多具体的指标直接与人口问题有关。目标提出，促进人的全面发展，提高思想道德、科学文化和健康素质，使人民过上更加富足的生活，促进人与自然的和谐，增强可持续发展能力等，这些都为新世纪、新阶段我国的人口工作和人口研究提出了大量重要课题。本文着重从人口数量及健康素质方面分析...
Projection of populations by level of educational attainment, age, and sex for 120 countries for 2005-2050
differential fertility differential of mortality education education goals education policies education scenarios educational attainment human capital multi-state methods projections
2010/4/6
Using demographic multi-state, cohort-component methods, we produce projections for 120 countries (covering 93% of the world population in 2005) by five-year age groups, sex, and four levels of educat...
Cohort fertility patterns and breast cancer mortality among U.S. women, 1948-2003
age-period-cohort breast cancer mortality cohort fertility
2008/12/16
Epidemiological research has shown that women who have early and numerous births have reduced risks of being diagnosed with breast cancer. We use U.S. Vital Statistics and Census data and age-period-c...
Inconsistencies in age profiles of HIV prevalence A dynamic model applied to Zambia
AIDS/HIV dynamics of epidemics heterosexual transmission mathematical model Sub-Saharan Africa Zambia
2008/12/12
A two-sex compartmental model of the dynamics of HIV infection was developed and applied to the case of Zambia. Parameters include age specific rates of fertility, mortality, entry into sexual life, n...
A simulation-based assessment of the bias produced when using averages from small DHS clusters as contextual variables in multilevel models
average bias clustering contextual DHS measurement error multilevel simulation size small
2008/12/12
There is much interest these days in the importance of community institutions and resources for individual mortality and fertility. DHS data may seem to be a valuable source for such multilevel analys...
Internal migration and household living conditions in Ethiopia
Civil War drought famine internal migration living conditions living conditions index migration resettlement stress migration
2008/12/11
Using the 1998 Migration, Gender and Health Survey in Five Regions of Ethiopia, and multivariate regression techniques, this paper examines the relationship between internal migration and household li...
Introduction to the Special Collection “Human Mortality over Age, Time, Sex, and Place：The 1st HMD Symposium”
Human Mortality Age Time Sex HMD
2008/12/11
This introduction to the special collection “Human Mortality over Age, Time, Sex, and Place: The 1st HMD Symposium” describes the Human Mortality Database project and briefly summarizes the Special Co...
Ageing and Mortality in the UK - National Statistician's annual article on the population
Ageing and Mortality National Statistician's annual article the population
2010/1/20
The population of the UK is growing at the fastest rate since the 1960s, increasing on average by 0.5 per cent each year. The fastest growing age group is those aged 85 years and older, who now repres...
comparison of different methods for decomposition of changes in expectation of life at birth and differentials in life expectancy at birth
decomposition, direct effect indirect effect interaction effect life expectancy life expectancy at birth main effect symmetrical total effect
2008/12/9
Several methods were proposed to decompose the difference between two life expectancies at birth into the contribution by different age groups. In this study an attempt has been made to compare differ...
Decline in Human Cancer Incidence Rates at Old Ages: Age-Period-Cohort Considerations
age-period-cohort models cancer incidence multistage theory
2008/12/9
Analysis of age-specific trajectories of cancer incidence rates for all sites combined (data source: International Agency for Research on Cancer) reveals a leveling-off and decline of the rates at old...
Quality of child health care and under-five-mortality in Zambia：A case study of two districts in Luapula Province
child health care child survival health-seeking behavior quality of care under-five mortality verbal autopsy
2008/12/9
This study was intended to investigate the factors associated with the high under-five mortality in one province of Zambia. Specifically the study (a) Identifies predominant traditional cultural belie...
Under-Five Mortality in Nigeria：Perception and Attitudes of the Yorubas Towards the Existence of “Abiku”
Abiku attitude(s) healers perception treatment
2008/12/9
The paper examines the perception and attitudes of the Yorubas about the existence of abiku (children from the spirit world) and the mode of treatment given to such children. The study elicited inform...
Education at home：the age-specific pattern of migration between the Netherlands and the former Dutch East Indies around 1930
age structure age/aging, census colonial times Dutch East Indies education Europe Europeans Indonesia migration secondary education
2008/12/9
The 1930 population census of the former Dutch East Indies (currently Indonesia) shows for the European population a striking shortage in the age range 10-20. This paper deals with the possible causes...
The impact of parent’s and spouses' education on divorce rates in Norway
divorce education educational attainment further education hazard regression marital dissolution Norway parental education register data social background
2008/12/9
According to both economic and sociological theory, a couple's divorce rate may be influenced by their own educational attainment, that of their parents, and whether they have taken further education ...