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Forecasting Equity Premium: Global Historical Average versus Local Historical Average and Constraints
Equity premium Nonparametric local historical average model Positivity con- straint Bagging
2016/1/25
The equity premium, return on equity minus return on risk-free asset, is expected to be positive. We consider imposing such positivity constraint in local historical average (LHA) in nonparametric ker...
Forecasting Equity Premium: Global Historical Average versus Local Historical Average and Constraints
Equity premium Nonparametric local historical average model Positivity con- straint Bagging Model averaging
2016/1/20
The equity premium, return on equity minus return on risk-free asset, is expected to be positive. We consider imposing such positivity constraint in local historical average (LHA) in nonparametric ker...
Comment on Gabaix and Laibson, “The 6D bias and the equity premium puzzle”
premium puzzle Gabaix and Laibson
2015/7/23
An economy populated by a representative agent with power utility predicts
an equity premium which is far below the realized equity premium in postwar
data, at least for “reasonable parameters” for ...
Corporate cash flows are highly volatile and strongly procyclical. We examine the assetpricing implications of the sensitivity of corporate cash flows to economic shocks within a
continuo...
Risk-Sharing Externalities and Its Implications for Equity Premium in an Infinite-Horizon Economy
Risk-sharing externalities endogenous income risks incomplete market participation
2010/12/6
This paper examines asset prices when risk-sharing externalities are incorporated into an infinite-horizon model where consumers are exposed to the endogenous income risks. It is shown that there exis...
This paper evaluates the equity premium using novel data on the consumption of luxury goods. Specifying utility as a nonhomothetic function of both luxury and basic consumption goods, we derive pricin...