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Verification of intense precipitation forecasts from single models and ensemble prediction systems
intense precipitation forecasts single models ensemble prediction systems
2009/11/12
The performance of single models and ensemble prediction systems has been investigated with respect to quantitative precipitation forecasts. Evaluation is based on the potential economic value of + 72...
Spatiotemporal characterization of Ensemble Prediction Systems–the Mean-Variance of Logarithms (MVL) diagram
Spatiotemporal characterization Ensemble Prediction Systems MVL diagram
2009/10/30
We present a novel approach to characterize and graphically represent the spatiotemporal evolution of ensembles using a simple diagram. To this aim we analyze the fluctuations obtained as differences ...