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Probabilistic temperature forecasting with statistical calibration in Hungary
Probabilistic temperature forecasting with statistical calibration in Hungary
2013/4/27
Weather forecasting is mostly based on the outputs of deterministic numerical weather forecasting models. Multiple runs of these models with different initial conditions result in forecast ensembles w...
Rejoinder: A statistical analysis of multiple temperature proxies: Are reconstructions of surface temperatures over the last 1000 years reliable?
Climate change global warming paleoclimatology tempera-ture reconstruction model validation cross-validation time series
2011/6/17
We heartily thank Michael Stein and Brad Efron for selecting our paper
for discussion and for the tremendous task of recruiting and editing 13 discussion
articles on this controversial and timely to...
Discussion of: A statistical analysis of multiple temperature proxies: Are reconstructions of surface temperatures over the last 1000 years reliable?
reconstructions of surface temperatures statistical analysis
2011/6/17
McShane andWyner (2011) (henceforthMW) analyze a dataset of “proxy”
climate records previously used by Mann et al. (2008) (henceforth M08) to
attempt to assess their utility in reconstructing past t...
Discussion of: A statistical analysis of multiple temperature proxies: Are reconstructions of surface temperatures over the last 1000 years reliable?
reconstructions of surface temperatures statistical analysis paleoclimate reconstructions
2011/6/16
As McShane and Wyner (2011) observe, there are formidable statistical
problems in “reconstructing” past temperatures from networks of so-called
“proxy” data with weak “signal” and complicated autoco...
Discussion of: A statistical analysis of multiple temperature proxies: Are reconstructions of surface temperatures over the last 1000 years reliable?
reconstructions of surface temperatures statistical analysis proxy-based reconstruction
2011/6/16
The authors are to be congratulated on the clarity of their paper, which
gives discussants and readers much to sink their teeth into. My comments
are somewhat critical, but this should in no way dev...
Discussion of: A statistical analysis of multiple temperature proxies: Are reconstructions of surface temperatures over the last 1000 years reliable?
statistical analysis reconstructions of surface temperatures application of statistics
2011/6/16
This article (MW) has stimulated much valuable discussion and helped to
focus attention on an important area for the application of statistics. Given
the short amount of space, however, we reluctant...