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Covariance inflation in the ensemble Kalman filter: a residual nudging perspective and some implications
Covariance inflation ensemble Kalman filter residual nudging perspective some implications
2013/6/17
This note examines the influence of covariance inflation on the distance between the measured observation and the simulated (or predicted) observation with respect to the state estimate. In order for ...
Since the early 1980s, the U.S. economy has changed in some important ways: inflation now rises considerably less when unemployment is low, and the volatility of output and
inflation have fallen shar...
A STABLE INTERNATIONAL MONETARY SYSTEM EMERGES: INFLATION TARGETING IS BRETTON WOODS, REVERSED
A STABLE INTERNATIONAL MONETARY SYSTEM INFLATION TARGETING BRETTON WOODS REVERSED
2010/11/5
A stable international monetary system has emerged since the early 1990s. A large number of industrial and a growing number of developing countries now have domestic inflation targets administered by ...
Predicting Inflation: Professional Experts Versus No-Change Forecasts
inflation predictive distribution reference forecast
2010/10/19
We compare forecasts of United States inflation from the Survey of Professional Forecasters (SPF) to predictions made by simple statistical techniques. In nowcasting, economic expertise is persuasive...
Changes in Monetary Policy and the Fight Against Inflation
Monetary Policy Fight Against Inflation
2008/12/17
I would like to begin by dispelling two myths that have grown up
about monetary policy in the United States. One is that until October
1979 the Fed targeted interest rates and then switched to a mon...
Excuse me for taking the tea along. My voice is a bit rasping today,
so if I had to sing I would call it off. I am so grateful to the Cato
Institute for giving me a chance to speak, because I love m...
THE CASE FOR ZERO INFLATION。
INFLATION TARGETING：THE NEW ZEALAND AND CANADIAN CASES
NEW ZEALAND CANADIAN CASES INFLATION TARGETING Consumer Price Index
2008/11/22
Introduction
Canada and New Zealand have recently announced targets of zero
inflation. The return to a “nominal anchor with drift” represents a
new way of thinking about the objectives of Canadian ...
While most economists agree that inflation is “bad,” no consensus
exists over how bad it is or what should be done about it. Some
believe that inflation is a major, even catastrophic, evil, and argu...
THE ROLE OF FORECASTING IN MEETING INFLATION TARGETS：THE CASE OF NEW ZEALAND
monetary policymakers NEW ZEALAND Policy Targets Agreement
2008/11/18
The Reserve Bank of New Zealand Act of 1989 was a landmark
piece oflegislationwhich has attracted attention from monetary policymakers
worldwide. The act states that the sole macroeconomic objective...
CAPITAL MOBILITY, INFLATION,AND HARMONIZATION
Financial rules financial claims global market economic growth
2008/11/17
Financial rules and institutions should be evaluated in terms oftheir
effects on the real economy. My briefpaper makes three simple points:
• A global market for financial claims is anecessary...
What is today’s big monetary policy issue? It is, surely, the extraordinary
volatility of the financial markets and the wide quality spreads
that opened up between riskier bonds and Treasury bonds f...
ENDING INFLATION IN CHINA：FROM MAO TO THE 21ST CENTURY
INFLATION CHINA 21ST CENTURY open inflation official prices
2008/11/12
For most of its existence, the People’s Republic of China has essentially
been free of open inflation. Rigid controls kept official prices
of many goods virtually unchanged for decades before econom...
DOES THE FED ABHOR INFLATION?
FED INFLATION monetary policy
2008/11/12
Current discussions of monetary policy have the Fed being virtually
single-minded in its resolve not to let the inflation bogey out of the
bottle. Yet this concern is relatively recent, dating from ...
MONETARY CREDIBILITY, INFLATION, AND ECONOMIC GROWTH
MONETARY CREDIBILITY INFLATION ECONOMIC GROWTH
2008/11/5
By now it must be universally agreed that low and stable inflation
is a primary and essential goal for monetary policy, in large part
because we believe it brings stability to financial systems and ...