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Joint probabilistic projection of female and male life expectancy
autoregressive model Bayesian hierarchical model oldest old potential support ratio t distribution United Nations World Population Prospects
2014/11/26
Background: The United Nations (UN) produces population projections for all countries every two years. These are used by international organizations, governments, the private sector and researchers fo...
Impact of different mortality forecasting methods and explicit assumptions on projected future life expectancy: The case of the Netherlands
Europe extrapolation Lee-Carter model Netherlands non-linear models smoking
2014/11/25
Background: With the rapid aging of the population, mortality forecasting becomes increasingly important, especially for the insurance and pension industries. However, a wide variety of projection met...
Working life gain from gain in old age life expectancy in India
elderly life expectancy old age dependency projections working life expectancy
2014/11/24
Background: It is important to evaluate the interaction between increasing life expectancy and changing age patterns in work participation from the perspective of planning for the greying population o...
Indigenous life expectancy in Sweden 1850-1899: Towards a long and healthy life?
colonization infant mortality life expectancy Sami
2014/11/24
Background: Previous research has shown that the health transition and demographical pattern of indigenous people has followed a different path compared to non-indigenous groups living in the same are...
How life expectancy varies with perturbations in age-specific mortality
life expectancy mortality pace of aging perturbation
2014/11/21
Background: A naturally arising question in demography is how a given change in mortality affects life expectancy. Scholars have targeted this question with different aims and from different perspecti...
Survival as a Function of Life Expectancy
force of mortality life expectancy life table stationary population survival function
2009/12/23
It is well known that life expectancy can be expressed as an integral of the survival curve. The reverse - that the survival function can be expressed as an integral of life expectancy - is also tru...