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Economic Integration, Industrial Specialization, and the Asymmetry of Macroeconomic Fluctuations
Economic integration EMU risk sharing
2015/9/21
We show empirically that regions with a more specialized production structure exhibit output °uctuations that are less correlated with those of other regions (less \symmetric" °uctuations). Combined w...
New Econometric Approaches to Stabilization Policy in Stochastic Models of Macroeconomic Fluctuations
Stochastic Models Macroeconomic Fluctuations
2015/8/4
During the last 15 years econometric techniques for evaluating macroeconomic
policy using dynamic stochastic models in which expectations are consistent, or
rational, have been developed extensively...
Differences in Economic Fluctuations in Japan, the U.S. and Europe: The Role of Nominal Rigidities
Economic Fluctuations Nominal Rigidities
2015/8/4
This paper examines the differences between economic fluctuations in the
United States and Japan during the period from 1972 through 1986. During this
period the size of the fluctuations in real out...
Fluctuations in Uncertainty.
We explore empirically models of aggregate fluctuations in which consumers form anticipations about the future based on noisy sources of information and these anticipations affect output in the short ...
In addressing the precipitous drop in trade volumes in the recent crisis, the real and financial explanations have sometimes been juxtaposed as competing explanations. However, they can be recon...
In addressing the precipitous drop in trade volumes in the recent
crisis, the real and financial explanations have sometimes been juxtaposed as competing explanations. However, they can be reco...
Determining fluctuations and cycles of corn price in Iran
corn GARCH harmonic pattern Iran agricultural mercantile exchange price fluctuations
2014/2/24
Corn is the third important agricultural product. It is an important input in the poultry production and the basic elements of edible oil, starch, glucose, and raw material in industrial production of...
Is China’s domestic agricultural market influenced by price fluctuations of the world agricultural commodities in the short-run?
agriculture copula dynamic correlation market integration short-term impact
2014/2/24
After entry into the WTO, China’s domestic agricultural market is more and more closely integrated into the world market. Recently, a significant price fluctuation of agricultural commodities in the g...
The Economic Impacts of Climate Change: Evidence from Agricultural Output and Random Fluctuations in Weather: Reply
Agricultural Output Random Fluctuations
2014/9/10
Fisher et al. (2012)鈥撯�揾enceforth, FHRS鈥撯�揾ave uncovered coding and data errors in our paper, Desch阯es and Greenstone (2007), henceforth, DG. We acknowledge and are embarrassed by these mistakes. We a...
Relations between allometric scalings and fluctuations in complex systems: The case of Japanese firms
Relations between allometric scalings fluctuations complex systems Japanese firms
2012/9/14
To elucidate allometric scaling in complex systems, we investigated the underlying scaling rela-tionships between typical three-scale indicators for approximately 500,000 Japanese firms; namely,annual...
Analysis of the International Oil Price Fluctuations and Its Influencing Factors
International Oil Price Supply and Demand Dollar Exchange Rate
2013/2/20
Oil is one of the important strategic energy to guarantee the development of modern industry and economy, and is also an important resource, which is scrambled by each interest group in the world. Oil...
Critical Analysis of Electronic Simulation of Financial Market Fluctuations
financial market fluctuations risk estimations exhaustive analysis stability conditions
2011/9/16
An interesting analog circuit for simulating a signal with fluctuations having a probability density function with a power tail has recently been proposed and constructed. The exponent of the power la...
Monetary and Exchange Rate Policy under Remittance Fluctuations
exchange rate regimes remittances small open economy
2011/8/21
Using data for the Philippines, I develop and estimate a heterogeneous agent model to analyze the role of monetary policy in a small open economy subject to sizable remittance fluctuations. I include ...
Maximum entropy distribution of stock price fluctuations
Maximum entropy distribution stock price fluctuations
2011/7/4
The principle of absence of arbitrage opportunities allows obtaining the distribution of
stock price fluctuations by maximizing its information entropy. This leads to a physical
description of the u...