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Richard Jeffrey (1983, 23) said that Newcomb’s Problem may be seen “as a rock on which ... Bayesianism ... must founder” and the problem has been almost universally conceived as reconciling the scienc...
Unboxing the Concepts in Newcomb’s Paradox:Causation,Prediction,Decision in Causal Knowledge Patterns
evidential vs causal decision theory Newcomb’s paradox Bayes nets causal models interventionist account of causation
2016/6/15
In Nozick’s rendition of the decision situation given in Newcomb’s Paradox dominance and the principle of maximum expected utility recommend different strategies. While evidential decision theory (EDT...
Causation, decision theory, and Bell's theorem: a quantum analogue of the Newcomb problem
causation decision theory Bell's theorem quantum foundations
2009/11/18
I apply some of the lessons from quantum theory, in particular from Bell's theorem, to a debate on the foundations of decision theory and causation. By tracing a formal analogy between the basic assum...
Newcomb's Problem and Repeated Prisoners Dilemmas
Newcomb's Problem Prisoners Dilemma Prisoner's Dilemma
2008/4/22
I present a game-theoretic way to understand the situation describing Newcomb’s Problem (NP) which helps to explain the intuition of both one-boxers and two-boxers.
David Lewis has shown that the NP...